Description

This analysis provides a forecast of FET prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-03-30 0.331888 0.386208 0.446227 0.517409 0.599478 0.691082 0.801042
2025-04-06 0.231800 0.301577 0.387158 0.499602 0.643216 0.820263 1.054869
2025-04-13 0.177745 0.250715 0.347208 0.483653 0.671102 0.919013 1.271186
2025-04-20 0.148552 0.223836 0.329680 0.488531 0.719974 1.043826 1.530176
2025-04-27 0.133011 0.212133 0.329379 0.514530 0.798138 1.214413 1.869623
2025-05-04 0.118334 0.198667 0.323484 0.529819 0.860357 1.366651 2.197546
2025-05-11 0.104440 0.183863 0.312781 0.535053 0.906049 1.496887 2.504158
2025-05-18 0.091615 0.168624 0.298840 0.532338 0.937242 1.605797 2.786414
2025-05-25 0.080217 0.154001 0.283679 0.524980 0.958710 1.699523 3.051555
2025-06-01 0.071167 0.142186 0.271643 0.521084 0.984827 1.802436 3.341313
2025-06-08 0.061694 0.128141 0.253636 0.503761 0.984197 1.857565 3.550878
2025-06-15 0.059656 0.128265 0.261988 0.536615 1.079548 2.093529 4.111468
2025-06-22 0.052223 0.116590 0.246418 0.521860 1.083673 2.163962 4.375264
2025-06-29 0.045501 0.105447 0.230523 0.504545 1.080919 2.221424 4.621374
2025-07-06 0.039832 0.095712 0.216196 0.488477 1.078425 2.278410 4.871392
2025-07-13 0.036638 0.091059 0.212031 0.493404 1.120022 2.427474 5.322659
2025-07-20 0.035391 0.090750 0.217325 0.519653 1.210161 2.685015 6.024983
2025-07-27 0.033445 0.088465 0.217835 0.535089 1.278029 2.901956 6.661805
2025-08-03 0.031013 0.084610 0.214190 0.540373 1.323373 3.074398 7.218054
2025-08-10 0.028355 0.079771 0.207553 0.537631 1.349589 3.206697 7.696876
2025-08-17 0.025722 0.074596 0.199421 0.530203 1.363729 3.312851 8.126098
2025-08-24 0.023542 0.070325 0.193012 0.526269 1.385828 3.439241 8.614329
2025-08-31 0.020955 0.064514 0.181872 0.508780 1.372151 3.479852 8.902407